Rédigé par Marjorie Paillon le 31 Décembre 2007 à 16:33
Chaque année, le 31 décembre, le FT fait part de ses prévisions pour l'année à venir. Le quotidien financier britannique prévoit une Hillary présidente dans un an même s'il note la progression constante d'Obama. Une preuve que les milieux d'affaires ne craignent guère une présidence démocrate pour leurs business.
Financial Times, édition UK, Une, 31 décembre 2007
Most likely, yes. Barring a remarkable upset, the Democratic nominee will win the election, so great is the unpopularity of this administration – and Mrs Clinton will be the nominee.
Barack Obama’s surge in Iowa and New Hampshire shows voters grow to like him more the better they know him. Americans want a change, and he is fresh. Also, there are signs of Clinton fatigue. For all her talents, the former First Lady is not new – and leaning on her husband’s popularity whenever her campaign misfires underlines the fact.
Even so, Mrs Clinton’s grip on the nomination is tighter than the Obama bounce suggests. If the nomination contest were fought primary by primary Mr Obama might be favourite to win – but it is not. In February the elections arrive in a rush, and the candidates are spread thin. Mrs Clinton will not give up if she loses the first two votes: her drive and ambition forbid it. Her lead among Democrats is big and well-entrenched. Overturning it is likely to be beyond even Mr Obama.
Le fait marquant
